[ICERIE 2025] An Innovative Approach to Smoker Status Prediction with ML Algorithms in Bangladesh
📄 Abstract
In Bangladesh, smoking continues to be a significant issue for public health. As for the
divisions in age, currently, about 18% of adults smoke, together with older and younger men,
including 36.2% of men and 0.8%. Moreover, smoking, including both the use of non-combustible
tobacco and different shades of age, particularly smokeless tobacco products, including betel quid
and zarda, are significantly common among middle-aged to elderly men and women. Such an
extensive consumption pattern leads to significant health complications, contributing to more than
100,000 deaths in the country. About 7% of teenagers use smoking and tobacco products, hinting at
negligence of youth tobacco use. In order to approximate and forecast smoking patterns, this study
approaches the possibility and effectiveness of some machine learning algorithms for predicting the
smoking status of patients based on their age, height, weight, waist circumference, visual acuity in
both eyes, hearing capability in both ears, systolic and relaxation. We use seven machine learning
algorithms: Naïve Bayes, logistic regression classifier, random forest classifier, XGBoost classifier,
Decision Tree , KNeighbors and a new approach called HEStacked to classify the smoking status of
patients. Each algorithm is tested with different efficiency measures, such as accuracy, and confusion
matrices, after being trained on a balanced dataset. Result illustrates the effectiveness of the
HEStacked Classifier, which showed an impressive precision of around 88.03% in correctly
classifying smoker status. This model highlights the important role of training and targeted
intervention measures, which will be a great asset for public health activities aimed at the prevention
and problem of diseases associated with smoking in more general. These findings can be used as a
promising tool for the prediction of smoking status based on health risk perceptions of Bangladesh.